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blazejos February 25th, 2022 01:51 PM

SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
We can start to thinking about third instalment of game in the series lets call this SPWWIII if after all of this people will still have computers and electricity and civilisation will exist meaby they will play such game. So how starts to describe all of that what happens on Ukraine now comes to my mind words of Pope Francis from 2014 "piecemeal World War III" https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-29190890


So lets start far from Ukraine in Grozny 25.02.2022
Chechen dictator Kadyrov units goes today on front to Ukraine to help Russian army. They are called Praetorians of Putin.
https://twitter.com/cbatuhan36/statu...oORa0awc-zr3og
We can called this outscoring of military services:D
https://twitter.com/ButtersCol/statu...oORa0awc-zr3og
https://twitter.com/Yellow34950210/s...bKQDXSTI7mPTKw

How looks real aircraft attack on cars on roads from perspective of a driver this is midday 25.02.2022
https://twitter.com/iamrezya/status/...oORa0awc-zr3og

Here from Kamenec-Podolsky western Ukraine also 25 Feb how Police catch V-Column group in old Lada civilian car.
https://twitter.com/bodsadman/status...oORa0awc-zr3og

Strange markers put by V-column in various places
https://twitter.com/NPU_GOV_UA/statu...P4ouBCRDp88Ntg
also on roofs of buildings
https://twitter.com/762project/statu...oORa0awc-zr3og

Early morning 25 Feb after an air-raid in Kiev an apartment blocks
https://twitter.com/NPU_GOV_UA/statu...95291400601605

This looks like attack on marked hospital palpably a war crime
https://twitter.com/_G_derun/status/...oORa0awc-zr3og

Here from 24 Feb indiscriminate attack on civilian villas district of the city (probably Kiev) don't know but is possible that home was chosen by random and attack by MiG-29 with probably unguided S-5 rockets. If someone was in home nearby is already dead now. On this movie you can see how much for reaction/cover you have with modern jets attack!
https://twitter.com/eypakdm/status/1...oORa0awc-zr3og

24 Feb Snake Island on Black Sea all this Border Guards are already death now they chosen this fate instead of surrender this outpost.
https://twitter.com/AlexKhrebet/stat...sPS5rM6Jxi-Djg
And here their conversation with Russian warship before shelling (for me some sound similar last words of Emperor Guard commander on Waterloo)
https://www.theguardian.com/world/vi...g-killed-audio

blazejos February 26th, 2022 04:39 AM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
Third day of the war during night like usually apartments block destroyed by glider bomb in Kyev. No one died because peoples were in bomb shelters instead in their apartments.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/...uhVGauSC1wgFjw

If you are curious how looks like attack of this bomb here someone who was in bomb shelter left inside his home a internet camera and saw when bomb stuck his apartment live.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/...uhVGauSC1wgFjw

Rescue action today morning 26.02.2022 (probably noone was inside during night)
https://twitter.com/LauraKwoczala/st...alny-w-kijowie

MarkSheppard February 26th, 2022 07:29 AM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
I've been away due to work (being so tired from one day that I went straight to sleep and slept through the opening of the war; and then being at work for two straight days due to an ice storm for the first two days of the war).

https://i.imgur.com/8m5IEhF.png

Looks like the Russians/Belarusians used the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone to pass through for their western pincer on Kiev.

So far with this war we have:
  • Battle of Chernobyl in the Exclusion Zone
  • Failed VDV air assault at Hostomel Airport -- VDV landed in helicopters and were wiped out after 8 hours.
  • Failed VDV airborne landings at Vasylkiv Airport, two IL-76s were shot down (claimed by US officials).

Russian casualties claimed by the Ukrainians for the first 36 hours (I think) are:

100+ tanks
500+ "Armoured Combat Vehicles"
17+ aircraft (helos and jets)
3000~ troops.

I would have downgraded the Ukrainian estimates to 1000~ killed; since after all, you can count burned out wrecks on the battlefield and be sure of vehicle losses; but human losses are hard.

But after the Vasylkiv assault with two IL-76s shot down, I'm inclined now to increase it to 2000~ killed.

blazejos February 26th, 2022 06:19 PM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
Nice graphic of military situation for 26 of February 2022

https://kresy.pl/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/1-24.png

As for now Wikipedia is one of best sources about battles which are fought on Ukraine

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...ion_of_Ukraine
And official Ukrainians comunicates about war and military equipment which they recive
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato

I also d'like to add info about other nations involved in this war

Belorusia
Dictator Lukaszenka denied any involment of Belorusia in this war but are some movies which shows that rockets are lanuched from Belorusians vilages against Ukraine. Secoundly On 24 February, State Border Guard Service of Ukraine reported about Russian troops trying to break through the Belarus-Ukraine border at Vilcha border crossing, and a helicopter without identification marks attacking a bridge near Slavutych. So that is confirmed belorusian involvment in this war
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belaru...ion_of_Ukraine

Chechen
They are on both sides so for them that is an civil war.
From one side are https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzhokh...ayev_Battalion they fight already on Ukrainian side in battle of Kyiv https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyiv_offensive_(2022) and they fight Russia since first Chechen war in 1994. They support indenpendent Chechen Republic of Ichkeria emigree goverment in London. From the secound side are Kadyrovtsy who also fights against Russia in 1994 first chechen war but alies with them in 1999 since there Kadyrov father and now son is a sole dictator of Chechen Republic which is part of Russia Federal Republic.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kadyrovtsy

Georgian
Georgian Legion of volounters often veterans of Georgian-Russia war of 2008 fight on Ukrainian side since 2014 and also in this war in 2022.

Crimean Tatar
They have Crimean Tatar "Noman Çelebicihan Battalion" which fight on Ukraininan side since 2015 and support Ukrainian Crimea. Is also supported by Turkey. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noman_...ihan_Battalion. In Ukrainian war of 2022 they are part of Odessa defenders.

Moldova
They are not involveed now but their army is mobilised now because the have fear that their teritory will be used by Russians to agression on Ukraine. Since 1992 after https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transnistria_War there existing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transnistria semi soviet state not recognised by anyone and now they may also sign indenpedece. In this part of Moldova stationed Russian troops which may be also used to attack on Odessa. So looks like Moldovians are traing to not allow using their teritory for invasion of Ukraine and secoundly not allow Transistria to declare indenpedence with help of Russia.

blazejos February 28th, 2022 09:43 PM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
And now map for 28 of February the frontline https://www.map.army/?ShareID=100914...pe=RO-uE2BzdFd

Wdll February 28th, 2022 09:51 PM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
I have to say I am disappointed. Glad, but disappointed the Russians suck so much in this war. Ukraine still has remnants of its already tiny airforce, artillery too and air defense. The Russians have supply issues and I am very very weirded out about some of their tactics.
I am glad they are not doing better and I hope so much that they fail completely.
Still, it looks like they have become kind of a joke. I mean, if not for their nuclear weapons I don't think they could successfully invade even a small to medium size country which has normal size armed forces.
As for tougher opponents...yeah.

Let's hope this ends soon and Putler one way or another gets out of the picture.

MarkSheppard February 28th, 2022 09:58 PM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
You can find battle locations using NASA fire sensing satellites

https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov...;@32.8,50.0,8z

Set your static background to Topographic and set your timeline to 7 days and you can find battles.

==================

KHARKOV last 7 days:

https://i.imgur.com/RzOhi3h.png

==================

KIEV last 24 hours:

https://i.imgur.com/Yxr3Edj.png

MarkSheppard February 28th, 2022 10:01 PM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
There are some issues with this.

1.) I don't know what criteria NASA uses to consider a FIRS "cell" on fire.

2.) Artillery/air strike generated fires may be more likely to trip FIRS than tank battles or burning AFV.

But, it's a good way to get "ground truth"; since where big fires are = lots of artillery = battle be there.

blazejos February 28th, 2022 10:56 PM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
Manuals for Kyiv defenders from https://twitter.com/DefenceU

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMrEOfxX...g&name=360x360
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMrEIF5X...g&name=360x360
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMrELS6X...g&name=360x360
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMrES1hX...g&name=360x360

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMtLcumX...g&name=360x360
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMtLcvVX...g&name=360x360

And here identification of radio device from Russian military column destroyed in Charkiv yesterday you can buy this on Aliexpress :doh: !!!
https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1498472478552776705

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FMunvozV...jpg&name=small

jivemi March 1st, 2022 09:07 AM

Re: SPWWIII next edition of games series?
 
Greetings fellow wargamers. At the risk of antagonizing anyone with a somewhat discordant point of view here is a cold-blooded, in-depth presentation---which considers things you're unlikely to see on Western media these days---of why Russia invaded Ukraine: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=If61baWF4GE&t=4s


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