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-   -   Updates in light of Ukraine war (http://forum.shrapnelgames.com/showthread.php?t=52845)

FASTBOAT TOUGH April 10th, 2022 03:58 PM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
Well though this is good news for the N/NE Ukraine, it will not be for the East. Several news agencies have for instance have shown a slightly over 8-mile column of trucks and 100's (unspecified number of) of various armored vehicles.

Russia is preparing for what they should've done from the beginning, strike on a concentrated semi-broad front out of Donbas region and Crimea with the goal to encircle a large part of the Ukrainian forces that have been defending the Donbas region for the last 5-6 years. .

If the Ukraine losses here and more so doesn't extract a large portion of those troops, it will lead to potentially opening up of the central part of the country and to major/substantial Russian territorial gains.

This upcoming offensive, somewhat underway now as the video Don posted shows, will determine the fate of the country and who'll be in the "driver's seat" at the negotiating table.

Some Generals (Ours) can see the upcoming offensive as being the largest battle in that part of Europe since 1943.

Of course, they would be speaking of the Battle of Kursk (or Battle of Prokhorovka, Kursk.)
https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q...tail&FORM=VIRE


The big shift for Russia beyond their force deployment is that they've centralized the command authority by appointing Gen. Aleksandr V. Dvornikov who's a very experienced having served in the Second Chechen War and was Commander of Russian forces in Syria.
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news...-calls-discha/


Government officials also reporting here that apparently Ukraine has/or roughly has, a 10:1 advantage in Javelins to Russian tanks committed in the Ukraine area. If even at halve that number that would be significant advantage.

Slovakia (Corrected.) as was confirmed this morning, has sent all their S-300 systems to the Ukraine they should already be there sometime today or tomorrow at latest their time.

We have sent them a full Patriot Battery I'm sure of course manned by our troops.

Need to verify which S-300 they operated which could lead to significant increase to performance capabilities.

Round 1 goes to the Ukraine hands down. Round 2 could decide the game.

Regards,
Pat
:capt:

DRG April 10th, 2022 04:19 PM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
The Javelins are handy because they do not require set up time like the Skif but either version of the Skif will get the job done

The game-changer on a lot of levels will be if the Russians use their artillery the way they did "in the old days" which will create a lot of collateral damage but it will make setting up ATGM kill zones problamatic

The other change that might occur is more reliance on basic infantry to clear areas of AT teams before moving armour forward. Either way, it's gonna get ugly

DRG April 10th, 2022 04:29 PM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by FASTBOAT TOUGH (Post 852196)
Well though this is good news for the N/NE Ukraine, it will not be for the East. Several news agencies have for instance have shown a slightly over 8-mile column of trucks and 100's (unspecified number of) of various armored vehicles.

Yep and pretty much what they reported at the beginning of March as well

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/01/huge...hing-kyiv.html

Quote:

Huge Russian convoy approaches Kyiv as fears of all-out assault on the city grow
That didn't pan out as planned......

FASTBOAT TOUGH April 11th, 2022 02:05 AM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
I can confirm this deal was under contract as the article indicates. What's at issue because of the Ukrainian War, what will be the "fall out" from this. As the article indicates this as well was a "power projection" move by China with this full 20 aircraft contingent arriving at the same in Serbia. CNN just reported Zelinsky to speak to the S. Korean National Assembly of the Republic of Korea, I wonder about what? They would like to send a message of their own to China. Material support to Ukraine could be it.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world...0ef01eacaa245f

Sweden and Finland pressing for NATO membership. Lots out there about this. What Russia didn't want to happen in Ukraine on their Eastern border will mark my words happen on its NE eastern border with Finland.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world...5448bb845effbc
https://history.state.gov/historical...rus1949v04/d62
https://www.sps.ed.ac.uk/sites/defau...e_Handbook.pdf


Those above are part of the "spider web" around the center of it of course being the Ukraine and Russia.

This mission has quietly been confirmed with a variation of "I can neither confirm or deny" or "Speak to any particular operations" so I guess we'll never know if SAS, Green Berets or SEALS are taking pictures or video. This would provide some excellent battlefield intel. On the highlighted "blue wording" click on them for further information.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidax...h=10a7efb26710

Now this next I did click on the blue. You might remember that I was pretty adamant about my comments concerning the Russian "bird cage" over the turrets of their tanks and some APC's. I basically said they were crap and would not stop a modern tandem warhead top attack weapon. So, to make my point on that and Stugna-P multi-tasking.

YOU MUST FOLLOW DIRECTIONS TO SAVE YOU TIME FOR THE ABOVE. PLEASE FEEL FREE TO ENJOY THE REST AT YOUR LEISURE.

Scroll down to 5 APRIL AND START COUNTING...
Video #1 STUGNA-P taking a helicopter.

Video #3 2 T-72B3 just after top attack. It's FAST but in the beginning, you'll see one T-72B3 had a "bird cage" and like the rest of the tank what's left of it.

Video #12 Unidentified T-72 hit by a "pile driver" and where's the hull!?! Stay with it as he pans around the tank. Killed and buried at the sometime. I make no light of it.

Scroll down to 6 April, well you know as you just did it...
Video #2 STUGNA-P taking out a T-72 variant.

Video #3 T-72B1 "Pile Driver" Top Attack.

Video #9 T-72B3 "How about that cage" definitely traditional top attack. JAVELIN and NLAW like most other TA ATGW turret separation is a sure sign of them likely having been the cause of it.
https://twitter.com/BarracudaVol1/st...33247284527122

I'm just making an educated guess here and more so with 5 APR Video #12
and possibly 6 APR Video #3 I feel was done by a precision munition along the line of our EXCALIBUR 155mm munition. It is CONFIRMED that they both have and have used them. Note dates of and in the article.
https://en.defence-ua.com/industries...rget-1647.html

DRG April 11th, 2022 06:36 AM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
What Happens to Russian Tank After a Shot from ATGM System

https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...stem-2490.html

Ukrainian Stugna ATGM's Hunting on Russian TOS-1 Buratino MLRS. Detailed Video of System's Crew Work
https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...work-2472.html

Russian Occupiers Lost 3 TOS-1A MLRS While Running Away From Kyiv Region
https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...gion-2451.html


In the case of the TOS I have other info that claims the Ukrainians have now started using the captured TOS against the Russians ( and why it is now in the Ukrainian OOB )

DRG April 11th, 2022 07:25 AM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
Javelin vs NLAW: Ukrainian Soldier Explains from Own Experience which of the Two is More Effective Against Russian Armored Targets

https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...gets-2495.html

DRG April 11th, 2022 07:32 AM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
Someday the new additions will stop but it's not going to be today

https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...ideo-2514.html

Expect a MUCH different Ukrainian OOB than the one you have now

Aeraaa April 11th, 2022 07:51 AM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DRG (Post 852212)
Someday the new additions will stop but it's not going to be today

https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_and...ideo-2514.html

Expect a MUCH different Ukrainian OOB than the one you have now

The way things shape in the last years, I'd expect a different OOB for most of countries in Europe.

DRG April 11th, 2022 08:04 AM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
There have been new units added in other OOB's but nothing comes close to Ukraine

DRG April 11th, 2022 08:05 AM

Re: Updates in light of Ukraine war
 
Ukrainian claims of Russian losses as of today

https://en.defence-ua.com/news/the_4...afts-2516.html


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