Ukraine OOB New and Old Toys

[MarkSheppard]

From one of the leaked slides:

This slide was dated 28 Feb 2023 at 1800 EST; so everything in here is outdated somewhat.

=========

Based on known contributions, training pathways, and projections, (12) combat credible BDEs can be generated for the Spring Counteroffensive, (3) internally by Ukraine (not depicted], and (9) are trained and equipped by US, Allied & Partner (US/A&P). Of the (9) BDEs, (6) BDEs will be ready by 31MAR, and the final (3) BDEs by 30APR. Equipment delivery times will impact training and readiness in this timeline. Total equipment required for (9) BDEs is 253 x Tanks, 381 x Mech, 480 x Motor, and 147 x Artillery plus delivery of 571 x U.S. Up-Armored HMMWVs.

Brigade Loadouts:

UNK BDE - 90 x BMP, 13 x T-64, 17 x Tanks (UNK), 12 x AS-90 x 10 x 2S1

47 BDE = 99 x M2 Bradleys, 28 x T-55S, 12 x M109, 12 x D-30

33 BDE = 90 x MaxxPro, 14 x Leo 2A6, 18 x Leo 2A4, 12 x M119

21 BDE = 20 x CVR(T), 30 x Senator, 20 x Bulldog, 21 x Husky, 10 x M113, 30 x T-64, 10 x FH70

32 BDE: 90 x MaxxPro, 10 x T-72, 20 x Tanks, 12 x D-30, [illegible]

37 BDE: 30 x Mastiff/Husky, 30 x Mastiff/Wolf, 10 x Senator, 14 x AMX-10, 16 x Tanks, 12 x D-30, [illegible]

118 BDE: 90 x M113, 28 x T-72, 6 x M-109, 8 x FH-70

117 BDE: 28 x Viking, 20 x XA185, 10 x M113, 10 x Senator, 31 x PT-91 Twardy, 12 x D-30

82 BDE: 90 x Stryker, 40 x Marder, 14 x Challenger, 24 x M119

=============

Ongoing Collective Training:

5 x Armor Bns:

Challenger in England
Leopard 2 in Germany
Leopard 2 in Poland
T-72 in Ukraine
T-64 in Ukraine

7 x Mech Bns:

BMP in Poland by Czechs and Polish
M2 Bradley in Germany
M2 Bradley in Germany
M113 in Ukraine
Marder in Germany
Viking in Finland
XA185 in Finland

3 x Motor Bns:

MaxxPro in Ukraine
Stryker in Germany
Stryker in Germany

3 x Field Arty Bns:

M019 in Germany
M109 in Germany
FH70 in Ukraine

[MarkSheppard]

This is from several of the leaked slides:

========

Bakhmut Axis as of 0600 EST on 1 MAR 2023:

Russian Federation Forces:

35 Total MVR BNs

29,000 Total Russian Personnel
~7,000 Regular/Res, RLF, and TDF
~22,000 PMC Vagner

10 Combat-Effective MVR BNs (regular and reserve)
0 Combat-Ineffective MVR BNs (regular and reserve)
15 Combat-Effective RLF BNs
10 Combat-Ineffective RLF BNs
0 Combat-Effective TDF BNs
0 Combat-Ineffective TDF BNs
12 Wagner PMC DETs

Ukranian Armed Forces:
12 BDEs (61 MVR BNs), 15,250 - 30,500 Total Personnel

==========================================

Kharkiv Axis as of 0600 EST on 1 MAR 2023:

Russian Federation Forces:
160 Total MVR BNs ~48,600 Total Personnel
37 Combat-Effective MVR BNs (regular and reserve)
44 Combat-Ineffective MVR BNs (regular and reserve)
40 Combat-Effective RLF BNs
1 Combat-Ineffective RLF BNs
38 Combat-Effective TDF BNs
4 Combat-Ineffective TDF BNs

Ukranian Armed Forces:
6 BDEs (29 MVR BNs) 7,250 - 14,500 Total Personnel

==========================================

Donetsk Axis as of 0600 EST on 1 MAR 2023:

Russian Federation Forces:
91 Total MVR BNs, ~ 23, 050 Total Personnel
32 Combat-Effective MVR BNs (regular and reserve)
11 Combat-Ineffective MVR BNs (regular and reserve)
33 Combat-Effective RLF BNs
7 Combat-Ineffective RLF BNs
7 Combat-Effective TDF BNs
1 Combat-Ineffective TDF BNs

Ukranian Armed Forces:
8 BDEs (40 MVR BNs), 10,000 - 20,000 Total Personnel

[MarkSheppard]

From one slide:

As of 0500 EST, 1 MAR 2023:

GMLRS expenditures:

9,612 total rounds expended
28 x Expended in Last 24 Hours
7 Day Burn Rate: 14

155mm expenditures:

952,856 total rounds expended
1,104 x Expended in Last 24 Hours
7 Day Burn Rate: 2,746

==========================

Freeze Favorable to Vehicle Maneuver (~16 Inches) Projections

slide summary:

Kharkiv Line
Mud from Late March to Mid-May
Favorable from Mid-May onwards

Donetsk Line
Mud from Mid-March to Early-May
Favorable from Early-May onwards

South of Donetsk Line
Mud from Mid-March to Early-May
Favorable from Early-May onwards

[FASTBOAT TOUGH]

Alright as part of Post Submission "cleanup" some might find this useful as it says it's Tanks 101 off my favorites (Don't even ask about set equip. folders.) files.

Anyway, it's not a bad video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0IbZGfTgUM
https://forum.shrapnelgames.com/edit...tpost&p=854275
(They got a Scottish Koala alright Co-Host)

Just realized I put this in the wrong Thread.

Regards,
Pat

[DRG]

Originally Posted by FASTBOAT TOUGH

Just realized I put this in the wrong Thread.

Regards,
Pat

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cnaeIAEp2pU

[FASTBOAT TOUGH]

Don,
Well, you got me good there!?!

The real would've been going to the gun range after only 1.5hrs. of sleep and having worked my normal evening shift the night before.

Going back to work tomorrow but it's my Friday so "8 and out the gate" to continue recouping Sun/Mon.

Shooting Wed. positive thoughts that I don't have a repeat of earlier this week. The "Qual Clock" is running out.

Will still be dealing with this for maybe another 2 weeks even though earlier today I was also told my lungs are clear. Turns out I have L. Armstrong & M. Phelps LUNGS W/O the talent!?!

Bronchitis what a "xitch", almost 5 weeks and counting and yes, the Dr. says this normal.

Great, but my lungs are clear.

I have a video to finish watching!

A word about those "leaked documents" making the rounds on the internet concerning the Ukraine, the Pentagon is moving swiftly to bring down those sites. Some were classified Top Secret.

I'm not joking here. Be careful.

Carried on all our National News Channels.

Regards,
Pat