2? randoms .... stack?!?

Agrajag · #1 January 5th, 2005, 11:20 AM

That is, for a complete random (all 8 paths) your chance to recieve a specific dual-random is 1/64.
However, since you are aiming for ANY dual-random it is merely 1/8.
For the 4 path randoms its 1/16 for a specific dual-random and 1/4 for ANY dual-random.

tinkthank · #2 January 5th, 2005, 12:19 PM

I'm sure the math is correct, but I really really doubt that things work this way. Please tell me: Do so many of your CMs and your Starspawns really get both their randoms in the same path? I have the feeling there is another mechanism here in play, since I would have sworn that stacking was impossible until yesterday.

Boron · #3 January 5th, 2005, 12:32 PM

Quote:

tinkthank said:
I'm sure the math is correct, but I really really doubt that things work this way. Please tell me: Do so many of your CMs and your Starspawns really get both their randoms in the same path? I have the feeling there is another mechanism here in play, since I would have sworn that stacking was impossible until yesterday.

I normally often summon lots of spectres and have so far gotten a lot of e2 spectres e.g. or d3 spectres .
You could quickly test it by building e.g. 24 starspawns , then in average 3 should have 2 randoms of the same path .

johan osterman · #4 January 5th, 2005, 02:07 PM

Quote:

tinkthank said:
I'm sure the math is correct, but I really really doubt that things work this way. Please tell me: Do so many of your CMs and your Starspawns really get both their randoms in the same path? I have the feeling there is another mechanism here in play, since I would have sworn that stacking was impossible until yesterday.

The randoms are distributed evenly, as long as they are not specified as either sorcery or elemental. There is no other mechanism.

tinkthank · #5 January 5th, 2005, 02:36 PM

ok thank you.

Out of interest, since I am not great at math: what are the chances of, say, 250 CMs *not* getting 2 randoms in the same path?

johan osterman · #6 January 5th, 2005, 02:53 PM

CM of spring and autumn has one random sorcery and one random elemental magic, just like the Jade Sorceresses. So their randoms never stack. Non spring and autumn CM's have one random sorcery or elemental.

The chance of 250 units with 2 completely random picks not yielding a single double is 7/8 raised to the power of 250, appr 3*1/1000000000000000.