Ukraine 2021(?)

[DRG]

Originally Posted by wulfir

I have made a few fairly realistic maps of UA-RU border regions for a fictional MBT campaign, a "what if" invasion of Ukraine

If you would like those maps included in the next update forward them to me by mid March

I have added " Citizens Militia" units and formations to the Ukrainian OOB

[wulfir]

Originally Posted by DRG

If you would like those maps included in the next update forward them to me by mid March

Sure thing - couple of question though, most of those Ukr maps are very "summery" maps - what's best here given the somewhat unusual current situation; keep them that way or make them "spring/winterish".

Or make duplicates (summer and winter versions)?

What map slot should I start with?

[MarkSheppard]

Originally Posted by DRG

If you would like those maps included in the next update forward them to me by mid March

May I kindly suggest that a 15~ day delay be put onto this year's update?

The geopolitical landscape is shifting rapidly, and there are signs you might have to do another flag update this year (besides Afghanistan).

Belarus may be undergoing a slow motion revolution.

Background in a series of tweets:

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https://twitter.com/Tsihanouskaya/st...Sg687GfjA&s=19

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya (@Tsihanouskaya)
Lukashenka committed treason – he made our country a participant in the invasion of Ukraine. So I declared myself as the national leader of Belarus to protect the sovereignty & independence of our country, represent it in security negotiations & crisis management in the region.

Basically, Tsikhanouskaya is the only person who challenged Luka in the 2020 elections and she was forced into exile in Eastern Europe (Poland/Balt States) as a result.

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https://twitter.com/Den_2042/status/1497649869909118976

Belsat (quoting multiple sources): Belarusian troops expect to be deployed to fight in Ukraine in a few days.

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https://twitter.com/TadeuszGiczan/st...gTHYaH6Lg&s=19

Lukashenko confirms missile strikes have been launched from Belarus against Ukraine because "Kyiv deployed 3-4 missile divisions near our border".

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What's happening today is a vote on the 2022 Belarusian Constitutional Referendum (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_B...nal_referendum)

that

Basically gives Lukashenko Immunity for acts he commits/committed as president of Belarus

Changes Article 18 of the Belarusian constitution that says "the Republic of Belarus aims at making its territory a nuclear-free zone", enabling Russia to deploy its nuclear weapons on Belarusian territory.

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https://twitter.com/TadeuszGiczan/st...rc=twsrc%5Etfw

Belarusians chanting "No to war" outside one of polling stations in Minsk right now. Via @MotolkoHelp

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https://twitter.com/TadeuszGiczan/st...rc=twsrc%5Etfw

Given the level of repression, the only possible for Belarusians to gather in protest against the invasion was to turn out to vote in the referendum at the same time all across the country – today at 2PM local time. It seems to have worked! Videos coming from all over the country

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https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/...rc=twsrc%5Etfw

Lukashenka's flag was removed from the #Belarusian embassy in #Vilnius and replaced with the national white-pass-white flag and the #Ukrainian flag. It is reported that the national flag was also noticed at the Belarusian embassy in #Paris.

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We may be seeing a slow motion coup/revolution inside Belarus, provoked by Lukashenko's actions.

Right now, I think it all depends on what Luka does in the next 24 hours.

The previous SRBM and airstrikes he had the Belarussian Air Force launch against Ukraine can be walked back, with some difficulty, but committing ground forces to Ukraine kind of can't.

[DRG]

Originally Posted by MarkSheppard

May I kindly suggest that a 15~ day delay be put onto this year's update?.

Mid March is the aim point for submissions like scenarios NOT when we will release the update. We are WELL AWARE that the situation is fluid ( Gee.. Ya think ? ) and there may need to be serious adjustments. Andy and I exchanged at least 2 dozen emails yesterday

That said this is reported to be a wrecked Russian MT-LBM and it isn't exactly what you would call a top tier combat vehicle

( unless someone thought this was going to be a.......“We have only to kick in the door, and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down.”...... exercise)

[DRG]

As a tie in with the post I made the other day

The quality of the equipment seems really sub par and " well used" . LINK


Recalling the comment made in the movie Kelly's Heros by Moriarty when they "acquired" the Tiger

It's a piece of junk! The fuel system leaks all over the place. It's a piece of junk!

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Originally Posted by DRG

Mid March is the aim point for submissions like scenarios NOT when we will release the update. We are WELL AWARE that the situation is fluid ( Gee.. Ya think ? ) and there may need to be serious adjustments. Andy and I exchanged at least 2 dozen emails yesterday

That said this is reported to be a wrecked Russian MT-LBM and it isn't exactly what you would call a top tier combat vehicle

( unless someone thought this was going to be a.......“We have only to kick in the door, and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down.”...... exercise)

[MarkSheppard]

You can find battle locations using NASA fire sensing satellites

https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov...;@32.8,50.0,8z

Set your static background to Topographic and set your timeline to 7 days and you can find battles.

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KHARKOV last 7 days:



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KIEV last 24 hours:

[wulfir]

Originally Posted by DRG

The quality of the equipment seems really sub par and " well used" . LINK

The Russian troops that went into Belarus were largely drawn from the Far East IIRC - which have been not had priority for new kit and have had to make do with older stuff. Think I saw T-72As the other day...

[DRG]

Originally Posted by wulfir

The Russian troops that went into Belarus were largely drawn from the Far East IIRC - which have been not had priority for new kit and have had to make do with older stuff. Think I saw T-72As the other day...

Makes sense if you want to ensure your troops don't have relatives in Ukraine.......

[Wdll]

Originally Posted by DRG

Makes sense if you want to ensure your troops don't have relatives in Ukraine.......

I feel stupid, I knew of the troops, but for some reason I never made the connection of having as few "connections" with Ukraine as possible. Thanks.