Searching for Blood Sites is superfluous !!

Gandalf Parker · #1 January 13th, 2009, 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chrispedersen

Correct me if I"m wrong -
but if you're seeing unrest, aren't the odds that you *don't* want to search there? Perhaps unless you can quantify the size of the unrest.

My remembrance - faulty perhaps, is that the odds vastly favor a *bad* result.

Why not search? for fear of wasting gems?
There are many things that can cause unrest. Events, spies, etc.

chrispedersen · #2 January 13th, 2009, 01:09 PM

Gandalf, in MP, you have an opportunity cost. Like I said, my memory may be faulty but my remembrance is that on a probability basis you are more likely to get a villain recruitment or one of the purely bad sites.

There are some indicators that tell you to search a province..
order thats higher than your order, luck higher than your luck - sloth higher than yours.

I'm just saying unrest higher than it should be probably is a waste of a search action - yes it can pay off big. But probabalistically, you'd be better searching elsewhere. I think.

MP is all about squeezing the maximum probability out of every action.